发布日期：
2019
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07
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18
【编者按】2019年6月18日晚，清华大学国情研究院『国情讲坛』第31讲在公共管理学院报告厅开讲。同济大学同济特聘教授，同济大学政治与国际关系学院院长、中国战略研究院院长门洪华就“贸易摩擦背景下的中美博弈”主题发表演讲。讲坛由清华大学国情研究院副院长、公共管理学院副教授鄢一龙主持。本文根据门洪华教授现场发言整理，内容已经门洪华教授本人审定。全文共约1.8万字，分上下两篇，本期推出上篇。Editor's Note：China-US relations are attracting global attention. With increasingly fierce competition among big countries, China-US relations have entered a new era of strategic rivalry. Meanwhile, the growth of China's strength, the transformation of the world and the adjustment of the US strategy, also prompt the competition of big countries to enter a new stage. Started from inaugurating trade conflict with China, the US is apparently adjusting its strategy towards China. Many scholars and politicians are worried that China and the US have fallen into the Thucydides Trap. My preliminary judgment is that they are now on the verge of the Thucydides Trap. The core of the changes in China-US relations is the effect of China's overall rise and the anxiety of the relative decline of th...